New poll shows Sanders ahead of Clinton in Iowa

Bernie Sanders
Sanders takes questions at a town hall meeting in Dubuque. — photo by Adam Burke

With less than a month until the Iowa Caucuses, a poll released Monday by the American Research Group (ARG) shows Sen. Bernie Sanders edging out former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by three points in Iowa.

ARG interviewed 400 Iowans by telephone from Jan. 6-10 to complete the survey, which includes a five percent margin of error. The results, published earlier today, show Sanders leading Clinton 47 percent to 44 percent, with former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley hanging on with three percent. ARG sampled “likely Democratic caucus-goers,” asking who they would vote for if the Democratic caucus were held “today.”

Though Clinton still leads Sanders in other states (Real Clear Politics‘ average gives her about a 12.8 point lead nationwide), a similar poll conducted last week by NBC, the Wall Street Journal and Marist indicates a Sanders surge may be forthcoming. In that poll, conducted from Jan. 2-7, Clinton’s lead in Iowa among likely caucus-goers had shrunk to just 3 percentage points.

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